The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority

Republicans are eyeing a path to the House majority that takes them through Trump country.

The GOP has already put 55 districts held by Democrats on its target list for 2020. But Republican hopes are highest in the 31 districts that President TrumpDonald John TrumpDenver Post editorial board says Gardner endorsement was ‘mistake’ NY attorney general: Evidence shows Trump misused charity for presidential campaign Sanders says Trump administration based on ‘hatred and lies’ MORE carried in 2016. That includes 13 districts where the real estate mogul bested Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonSanders Institute shutting down amid criticism Denver Post editorial board says Gardner endorsement was ‘mistake’ Schumer: Democrats will try again to pass bill making Mueller report public MORE by more than 6 points.

Meanwhile, GOP lawmakers hold only three districts where Clinton won in 2016 – Reps. Will HurdWilliam Ballard HurdHillicon Valley: US threatens to hold intel from Germany over Huawei | GOP senator targets FTC over privacy | Bipartisan bill would beef up ‘internet of things’ security | Privacy groups seize on suspended NSA program | Tesla makes U-turn Lawmakers introduce bipartisan bill for ‘internet of things’ security standards Texas Republican says he’ll vote for Trump ‘unless Beto O’Rourke decides to run as a Republican’ MORE (Texas), John KatkoJohn Michael KatkoHouse Dem vets press McConnell on emergency declaration Bipartisan think tank to honor lawmakers who offer ‘a positive tenor’ Eight Republicans side with Dems on background checks for gun sales MORE (N.Y.) and Brian FitzpatrickBrian K. FitzpatrickAdvocate says Native American women more likely to be victims of violence How this government reform bill proves why government needs reform This week: Trump set for Senate setback on emergency declaration MORE (Pa.).

Those lawmakers are among 33 Republicans that Democrats are hoping to oust in 2020 as the party looks to expand its nascent House majority.

Here’s a look at where next year’s battles for the House will be fought:

Trump-won districts held by Democrats

AZ-01

Rep. Tom O’Halleran (D-Ariz.) held onto his seat in November after notching a decisive 7.6-point victory over Republican challenger Wendy Rogers. Trump edged out Clinton in Arizona’s 1st District in 2016 by just over 1 point.

GA-06

Rep. Lucy McBathLucia (Lucy) Kay McBathHouse slated to vote on most significant gun control bill in years Gun control groups tout momentum ahead of House vote  Obama, Steph Curry team up to tell young men of color: ‘You matter’ MORE’s (D-Ga.) 2018 victory in Georgia’s 6th District brought former Rep. Karen HandelKaren Christine HandelDem whose son was killed in shooting: Gun violence is the real national emergency, ‘not a wall’ DCCC official says Democrats look to make ‘big gains’ in Texas, Georgia Ossoff tests waters for Georgia Senate run MORE’s (R-Ga.) brief tenure in the House to an end and handed Democrats a House seat they had aggressively sought in a 2017 special election. Trump won there in 2016 by 1.5 points.

IL-14

Rep. Lauren UnderwoodLauren UnderwoodDems seek relief for worried taxpayers in tough filing season Dem lawmaker inspires social media users to share selfies in their glasses Dem responds to ‘trolls’ who said wearing white made female lawmakers look like nurses MORE (D-Ill.) dethroned four-term former Rep. Randy HultgrenRandall (Randy) Mark HultgrenLauren Underwood becomes youngest ever black woman to be sworn in to Congress Illinois New Members 2019 Republicans must learn from the election mistake on immigration MORE (R-Ill.) in November to become the youngest black woman ever elected to Congress. Trump notched a nearly 4-point win in her district in 2016, however, and the GOP is looking to turn it red again in 2020.

IL-17

Rep. Cheri BustosCheryl (Cheri) Lea BustosCrenshaw tries out Trump impersonation at Washington Press Club Foundation dinner Dems flock to Pelosi on Trump impeachment Dem leaders, progressives struggle over ‘Medicare for all’ MORE (D-Ill.) easily coasted to a fourth term in 2018, beating back a challenge from Republican Bill Fawell. She’s currently the chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), meaning that she’ll be tasked with preserving the Democrats’ House majority in 2020, along with her own seat. Trump notched a slim 0.7-point victory in her district in 2016.

IA-01

Rep. Abby FinkenauerAbby Lea FinkenauerDemocrats, Trump battle over 75 ‘pivot’ counties in Midwest House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill Elise Stefanik seeks to tackle GOP’s women ‘crisis’ ahead of 2020 MORE (D-Iowa) ousted two-term former Rep. Ron Blum (R-Iowa) in this northwest Iowa district in November – one of two Iowa districts that Democrats managed to flip in 2018, along with the state’s 3rd District. Still, Trump won there by about 3.5 points two years earlier.

IA-02

Rep. Dave LoebsackDavid (Dave) Wayne LoebsackIowa is key state in Dem drive for House majority Overnight Energy — Presented by Southern Utah Wilderness Alliance — Judge upholds Obama’s marine monument | GOP lawmakers worried states using water rule to block fossil fuels | Lawmakers press Trump ahead of ethanol decision Bipartisan bill would help homeless children and youth MORE (D-Iowa) secured a seventh term in the House last year, beating back a challenge from Republican Christopher Peters. Trump won his southeastern Iowa district two years earlier by a roughly 4-point margin.

IA-03

Rep. Cindy AxneCindy AxneThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill Why standing up for children is a policy priority MORE’s (D-Iowa) win over former Rep. David YoungDavid Edmund YoungAnxiety grows in first tax season under Trump law Iowa New Members 2019 McCarthy defeats Jordan for minority leader in 159-to-43 vote MORE (R-Iowa) gave Democrats more good news in the Hawkeye State; it was among three key wins there that handed the party three spots in Iowa’s four-member House delegation. Trump won the district in 2016 by 3.5 points.

ME-02

Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine) may not have won the most votes on Election Day. But thanks to Maine’s recent switch to ranked-choice voting, he finished with enough votes to defeat former Rep. Bruce PoliquinBruce Lee PoliquinMaine governor certifies Dem’s win in disputed House race, but calls it ‘stolen election’ GOP lawmaker to drop challenge to Maine’s new voting system GOP lawmaker to appeal judge’s ruling upholding Maine’s new voting system MORE (R-Maine) days after polls closed. Trump previously won Maine’s 2nd District by more than 10 points.

MI-08

Rep. Elissa SlotkinElissa SlotkinLawmakers propose bill to end fed agency’s deadly experiments on kittens House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill House passes bill expanding background checks on gun sales MORE (D-Mich.) ousted former Rep. Mike Bishop (R-Mich.) in Michigan’s 8th District, two years after Trump scored a nearly 7-point win over Clinton. Slotkin’s victory was seen by many as a sign of a Democratic resurgence in the upper Midwest, an area that played a crucial role in sending Trump to the White House.

MI-11

Rep. Haley StevensHaley Maria StevensWHIP LIST: Pelosi seeks path to 218 MORE (D-Mich.) defeated Republican Lena Epstein in November in the race to succeed now-retired Rep. David Trott (R-Mich.). In doing so, she became the first Democrat elected to a full two-year term in Michigan’s 11th District since 1964. Trump previously won her district by more than 3 points.

MN-02

In defeating freshman former Rep. Jason LewisJason Mark LewisMLB donated to GOP lawmaker who made controversial comments about women, minorities Minnesota New Members 2019 Overnight Health Care — Presented by The Partnership for Safe Medicines — Medicaid expansion gets extra boost from governors’ races | Utah’s expansion to begin April 1 | GOP lawmaker blames McCain for Dems winning House MORE (R-Minn.) last year, Rep. Angie Craig (D-Minn.) handed Democrats a crucial victory in a coveted swing seat. Trump notched a victory in the suburban Twin Cities district two years earlier, besting Clinton by little more than 1 point.

MN-07

Rep. Collin PetersonCollin Clark PetersonDemocrats, Trump battle over 75 ‘pivot’ counties in Midwest Dems struggle to unify after GOP embarrasses them on procedure Eight Republicans side with Dems on background checks for gun sales MORE (D-Minn.) won a 15th term representing this vast western Minnesota district in 2018, despite Trump’s nearly 31-point victory there two years earlier. That alone makes him a prime target for Republicans in 2020.

NV-03

Rep. Susie LeeSuzanne (Susie) Kelley LeeMORE’s (D-Nev.) win over Republican Danny Tarkanian kept Nevada’s 3rd District in Democratic hands after Jacky RosenJacklyn (Jacky) Sheryl RosenThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Manafort sentenced to total of 7.5 years in prison Female Dems see double standard in Klobuchar accusations Trump suggests Heller lost reelection bid because he was ‘hostile’ during 2016 presidential campaign MORE (D-Nev.) vacated the seat to run for Senate. Trump carried the district by 1 point over Clinton in 2016.

NH-01

Rep. Chris PappasChristopher (Chris) Charles Pappas116th Congress breaks records for women, minority lawmakers Here are the lawmakers who will forfeit their salaries during the shutdown 5 themes to watch for in 2020 fight for House MORE’s (D-N.H.) 8.6-point win over Republican Eddie Edwards in 2018 kept New Hampshire’s 1st District in Democratic hands after former Rep. Carol Shea-PorterCarol Shea-PorterNew Hampshire New Members 2019 Democrat Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire House seat Overnight Energy — Presented by Southern Utah Wilderness Alliance — Trump expected to push pipelines next year | Lawmakers want answers on cancelled wildlife refuge enforcement program | Interior implements new rules for science MORE (D-N.H.) announced that she would not seek reelection. That win was a relief for Democrats after Trump narrowly won the district in 2016.

NJ-02

Rep. Jeff Van DrewJeff Van DrewHouse GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill Democrat votes ‘no’ on Speaker before reversing course The 15 Democrats who voted against Pelosi MORE (D-N.J.) won New Jersey’s 2nd District in November after going up against Trump-backed Republican Seth Grossman in his bid to succeed former Rep. Frank LoBiondoFrank Alo LoBiondoLoBiondo launches consulting firm Live coverage: House elects new Speaker as Dems take charge The Hill’s 12:30 Report — Presented by The Embassy of the United Arab Emirates — George H.W. Bush lies in state | NRCC suffers major hack | Crunch-time for Congress MORE (R-N.J.), who retired in January. Trump beat out Clinton in the district by nearly 5 points.

NJ-03

Rep. Andy Kim (D-N.J.) unseated two-term former Rep. Tom MacArthurThomas (Tom) Charles MacArthur 10 things we learned from the midterms New Jersey New Members 2019 On The Money: Trump, Senate leaders to huddle on border wall funding | Fed bank regulator walks tightrope on Dodd-Frank | Koch-backed groups blast incentives for corporations after Amazon deal MORE (R-N.J.) in November, a win that left only one Republican in New Jersey’s congressional delegation, Rep. Chris SmithChristopher (Chris) Henry SmithTax Foundation: Bill to restore full SALT deduction would benefit high earners Trump should push to end persecution of Chinese Christians as part of trade negotiations Eight Republicans side with Dems on background checks for gun sales MORE (R-N.J.). But Trump still carried the district by more than 6 points in 2016, making Kim’s seat a prime target for the GOP in 2020.

NJ-05

Rep. Josh GottheimerJoshua (Josh) GottheimerHouse to vote Thursday on anti-Semitism resolution Ocasio-Cortez rebukes Dem centrists over gun control vote Push for ‘Medicare for all’ worries centrist Dems MORE (D-N.J.) easily fended off a challenge from Republican John McCann in November, despite Trump’s narrow 1.1-point victory in the district. While Gottheimer’s win bolstered Democratic hopes in the district, Republicans still see the two-term congressman as a target in 2020.

NJ-11

Rep. Mikie SherrillRebecca (Mikie) Michelle SherrillNew Jersey Dems tell Pentagon not to use military funds for border wall GOP rep ‘disappointed’ by the number of Republican women in Congress The Hill’s Morning Report – Pelosi’s challenge: Getting Dems back on same page MORE (D-N.J.) beat out Republican Jay Webber by nearly 15 points in 2018 in the race to succeed now-retired Rep. Rodney FrelinghuysenRodney Procter FrelinghuysenTop House GOP appropriations staffer moves to lobbying shop Individuals with significant disabilities need hope and action Exiting lawmakers jockey for K Street perch MORE (R-N.J.). Sherrill was the first Democrat elected to represent the district in the House since 1982, and Republicans are eager to take it back in 2020. Trump carried the district by just under 1 point in 2016.

NM-02

Rep. Xochitl Torres Small (D-N.M.) won the right to succeed former Rep. Steve PearceStevan (Steve) Edward PearceThe legal scandal that no one is talking about Dem governors on 2020: Opposing Trump not enough Election Countdown: Recount prospects grow in Florida | Abrams team to sue over absentee ballots | Dem wins pivotal Georgia House seat | A look at the uncalled races | Corporations spend big to beat ballot measures MORE (R-N.M.) in this vast southern New Mexico district after narrowly overcoming a challenge from Republican Yvette Herrell in November. Trump carried the district in 2016 by roughly 10 points.

NY-11

In defeating former Rep. Dan Donovan (R-N.Y.) last year, Rep. Max RoseMax RoseHouse Dem vets press McConnell on emergency declaration House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill House passes bill expanding background checks on gun sales MORE (D-N.Y.) dethroned the only Republican member of New York City’s congressional delegation. Trump won the Staten Island district two years earlier by a nearly 10-point margin.

NY-18

Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.) sailed to an easy victory over Republican James O’Donnell last year after an unsuccessful primary bid for New York attorney general. Trump notched a narrow win in Maloney’s district in 2016, edging out Clinton by less than 2 points.

NY-19

Rep. Antonio DelgadoAntonio Ramon DelgadoHouse GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill Overnight Energy: Court rules for Trump in environmental case over border wall | House bill would stop Alaska refuge drilling | Ads target Dems over Green New Deal GOP House super PAC targets two freshman Dems with new ads MORE (D-N.Y.) ousted single-term Rep. John Chrin (R-N.Y.) in 2018 after a bitter campaign in which some Republican groups attacked Delgado over his past career as a rapper. Trump carried the district in 2016 by nearly 7 points.

NY-22

Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D-N.Y.) wrestled this district from one-term former Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-N.Y.) in November after voters there chose Trump over Clinton by a more than 15-point margin. But Brindisi’s victory was a tight one – less than 2 points – and he’s almost certain to face an aggressive GOP challenge next year.

OK-05

In what was one of election night 2018’s biggest upsets, Rep. Kendra HornKendra Suzanne HornHouse GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill GOP maps out early 2020 strategy to retake House 5 themes to watch for in 2020 fight for House MORE (D-Okla.) defeated former Rep. Steve RussellSteven (Steve) Dane Russell5 themes to watch for in 2020 fight for House Oklahoma New Members 2019 Overnight Defense — Presented by Raytheon — First lady’s office pushes for ouster of national security aide | Trump taps retired general as ambassador to Saudis | Mattis to visit border troops | Record number of female veterans to serve in Congress MORE (R-Okla.), turning Oklahoma’s 5th District blue for the first time in more than 40 years. But with Trump’s roughly 13-point victory there in 2016, Horn’s reelection is far from sealed.

PA-08

Rep. Matt CartwrightMatthew (Matt) Alton CartwrightSupreme Court justice warns Congress of security threats to lower courts Pelosi runs tight ship as more stormy waters await Pelosi puts tight grip on talk of Trump impeachment MORE (D-Pa.) won a fourth-term in the House in November after beating back a challenge from Republican John Chrin in Pennsylvania’s newly formed 8th District. Previously, Cartwright had represented the state’s 17th District. Trump won the area by nearly 10 points.

PA-17

Rep. Conor Lamb (D-Pa.) won his first House seat in the March 2018 special election for Pennsylvania’s 18th District. But redistricting led him to face off against former Rep. Keith RothfusKeith James RothfusTrump’s most memorable insults and nicknames of 2018 Pennsylvania New Members 2019 Pennsylvania Dem: Trump has proven he’s ‘interested in negotiating’ MORE (R-Pa.) in the state’s 17th District in November. He won that race by nearly 13 points, despite Trump’s 2.6-point victory there in 2016.

SC-01

Rep. Joe CunninghamJoseph CunninghamCongressman blasts air horn at Trump official who said seismic air gun tests don’t harm whales House passes second major gun bill House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill MORE (D-S.C.) vanquished former South Carolina state Rep. Katie Arrington (R) in this Low-Country district last year, becoming the first Democrat to represent it in Washington since the 1980s. Trump carried the district by about 13 points in 2016.

UT-04

Rep. Ben McAdams (D-Utah) was declared the winner in this district last year after a prolonged vote-counting process gave him an ultra-thin 694-lead over two-term former Rep. Mia LoveLudmya (Mia) LoveJuan Williams: Racial shifts spark fury in Trump and his base Trump suggests Heller lost reelection bid because he was ‘hostile’ during 2016 presidential campaign Trey Gowdy joins Fox News as a contributor MORE (R-Utah). That margin – 0.258 percent – was just over the 0.25 percent that would have allowed for a recount. Trump beat out Clinton in the district in 2016 by nearly 7 points.

VA-02

Rep. Elaine LuriaElaine Goodman LuriaHouse GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill Fairfax removed from leadership post in lieutenant governors group Virginia Legislative Black Caucus calls on Fairfax to step down MORE’s (D-Va.) win over former Rep. Scott TaylorScott William TaylorEx-GOP Rep. Ryan Costello joins group pushing carbon tax Virginia New Members 2019 Overnight Defense — Presented by Raytheon — First lady’s office pushes for ouster of national security aide | Trump taps retired general as ambassador to Saudis | Mattis to visit border troops | Record number of female veterans to serve in Congress MORE (R-Va.) in Virginia’s 2nd District was among three Democratic victories that flipped GOP-held seats in the Old Dominion. Trump previously scored a 3.4-point victory in the district.

VA-07

Rep. Abigail SpanbergerAbigail Davis SpanbergerWhy block citizenship to immigrants who defend America? GOP rep ‘disappointed’ by the number of Republican women in Congress The Hill’s Morning Report – Pelosi’s challenge: Getting Dems back on same page MORE (D-Va.) vanquished former Rep. Dave Brat (R-Va.) in this Richmond-area district, winning the right to succeed a conservative firebrand that rose to power at the height of the Tea Party movement four years earlier. Trump won Virginia’s 7th District by 6.5 points in 2016.

WI-03

Despite Trump’s 2016 victory in this western Wisconsin district, Rep. Ron KindRonald (Ron) James KindDemocrats, Trump battle over 75 ‘pivot’ counties in Midwest Koch-backed group pushes for new limits on Trump’s tariff authority Steel lobby’s PR blitz can’t paper over damaging effects of tariffs MORE (D-Wis.) secured a 12th term in the House last year, scoring a nearly 20-point victory over Republican Steve Toft. His win was another welcome sign for Democrats for signs of strength in the upper Midwest.

Clinton-won districts held by Republicans

NY-24

Despite Clinton’s 3.6-point win in his district in 2016, Rep. John Katko (R-N.Y.) notched a roughly 5-point victory over his Democratic challenger, Dana Balter in 2018. Democrats aren’t giving up, however. Katko is on the DCCC’s target list for 2020.

PA-01

After an expensive and closely watched race against wealthy philanthropist Scott Wallace in 2018, Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick secured a second term in the House. Fitzpatrick’s win in a district that Clinton carried by 2 points stood in contrast to a long series of losses by other Republicans in suburban districts across the country. Still, that has left Democrats eager to challenge him again next year.

TX-23

Rep. Will Hurd’s (R-Texas) vast district on the U.S.-Mexico border has long been on Democrats’ wish list. He successfully fought off an aggressive challenge from Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones last year – Hurd won by just 0.5 points – and Democrats are hoping for a different outcome in 2020. Clinton carried the district by 3.4 points over Trump in 2016.